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CURRENCIES TECHNICAL ANALYSIS July.3

EUR/USD

After finding an obstacle at 1.1450 last week EUR/USD turned bearish. The pair extended its weakness on Monday. Sellers broke 1.1400 in the night and headed towards 1.1350. The resistance is at 1.1400, the support comes in at 1.1350.

The pair is still in an upward channel. The current decline we consider corrective. The spot may reach 1.1350-1.1330 where we expect it to bounce upwards.

 

GBP/USD

The pound traded mixed the recent days. Inability to break above 1.3000 made buyers give up their gains to take some profit. The pair started the day above 1.3000 and went down immediately after opening. The cable broke the level 1.3000 during European morning trade and moved lower after that. The resistance lies at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The bullish momentum is likely to be regained. However, we believe the pound needs to gather some steam before keep growing. The pair may decline to 1.2940-1.2900 in the coming sessions.

 

USD/JPY

The pair managed to reverse all last week losses on Monday. Buyers found support at 112.00 where they found strength to grow again. USD/JPY was positive the first part of the day and was able to reach 113.00 by noon. The resistance lies at 113.00, the support comes in at 112.00.

We believe the pair will remain in bulls' hands. If buyers break above 113.00 the way towards 113.50 will be open.


XAU/USD

The tone is still negative in the market. Bears broke 1240 in the Asian session and pushed the spot lower after that. The yellow metal continued going down the night and the morning and reached 1235 by noon. The resistance exists at 1240, the support stands at 1230 dollars per ounce.

The precious metal broke a strong support 1240. That means the current bearishness will last for a while. Sellers aim at 1230 now. A successful break below the level could spark a further decline to 1220 dollars per ounce.

 

Brent

Brent gapped higher at the daily open on Monday. The price jumped from 47.86 to 48.93 dollars per barrel. Buyers managed to extend their gains up to 49.14 when they lost steam. Sellers returned to the market after that. The benchmark started to lose ground and reached 48.50 ahead of the NY opening. The resistance lies at 49.50, the support lies in at 48.50.

Brent oil prices may try to fill the gap. We do not rule out a decline below 48.50 dollars per barrel. Anyway, the current market sentiment is positive. The price may turn bullish any moment now.

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